Jamaica Hurricane and Weather Watch

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Most updated information on Jamaica Hurricane and weather conditions all in one place.





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Tropical Depression – wind speed less than 39 MPH
Tropical Storm – wind speed between 39 MPH and 73 MPH
Hurricane – wind speed between 74 MPH and 110 MPH
Major Hurricane – wind speed greater than 110 MPH

Active tropical cyclones in the Atlantic, Caribbean, and the Gulf of Mexico
NHC Atlantic
  • Hurricane Maria Potential Storm Surge Flooding Map
    Hurricane Maria Link to Potential Storm Surge Flooding Map
    Potential Storm Surge Flooding Map last updated Tue, 26 Sep 2017 03:39:50 GMT
  • Local Statement for Newport/Morehead City, NC
    Issued at 1138 PM EDT Mon Sep 25 2017
  • Hurricane Maria Probabilistic Storm Surge Graphics
    Hurricane Maria Probabilistic Storm Surge Graphics Image
    Probabilistic Storm Surge Graphics last updated Tue, 26 Sep 2017 03:29:36 GMT
  • Hurricane Maria Graphics
    Hurricane Maria 5-Day Uncertainty Track Image
    5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Tue, 26 Sep 2017 02:50:47 GMT

    Hurricane Maria 34-Knot Wind Speed Probabilities
    Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Tue, 26 Sep 2017 03:30:51 GMT
  • Hurricane Lee Graphics
    Hurricane Lee 5-Day Uncertainty Track Image
    5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Tue, 26 Sep 2017 02:46:10 GMT

    Hurricane Lee 34-Knot Wind Speed Probabilities
    Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Tue, 26 Sep 2017 03:23:11 GMT
  • Hurricane Maria Storm Surge Watch/Warning Map
    Hurricane Maria Link to Storm Surge Watch/Warning Map
    Storm Surge Watch/Warning Map last updated Tue, 26 Sep 2017 02:44:01 GMT
  • Hurricane Maria Forecast Discussion Number 40
    Issued at 1100 PM EDT Mon Sep 25 2017
    
    000
    WTNT45 KNHC 260243
    TCDAT5
    
    Hurricane Maria Discussion Number  40
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       AL152017
    1100 PM EDT Mon Sep 25 2017
    
    Maria's deep convection continues to slowly diminish, especially
    over the western semicircle of the circulation, where only a few
    cold tops are seen.  The Air Force Hurricane Hunters reported an
    SFMR-observed surface wind of 67 kt over the northeast quadrant, so
    the current intensity is maintained at 70 kt for the time being.
    Although vertical shear is not forecast by the dynamical guidance to
    increase significantly over the next few days, cooler waters and
    drier air are likely to cause Maria to weaken to a tropical storm by
    late Tuesday or Wednesday.  By the end of the forecast period,
    global models indicate that the system will have transformed into a
    frontal cyclone over the northern Atlantic, and this is also
    reflected in the official forecast.
    
    Maria continues to move northward quite slowly, or 360/6 kt, on the
    western side of a subtropical high pressure area.  A mid-level ridge
    over the northeastern United States should continue to retard the
    system's forward progress for another day or two.  Afterward, this
    ridge is predicted to weaken, and Maria should begin to accelerate
    northeastward to east-northeastward away from the United States east
    coast, ahead of a broad mid-tropospheric trough.  The official track
    forecast is very similar to the previous one and is in line with the
    multi-model consensus.  This is also between the faster GFS and
    slower ECMWF tracks.
    
    KEY MESSAGES:
    
    1. Maria is forecast to continue moving northward, paralleling the
    U.S. east coast, and it is likely that some direct impacts will
    occur along portions of the North Carolina coast beginning Tuesday,
    where a Tropical Storm Warning is in effect.
    
    2. Storm surge flooding, especially along the sound side of the
    North Carolina Outer Banks, is expected beginning on Tuesday, and a
    Storm Surge Watch has been issued for portions of eastern North
    Carolina.
    
    3. Swells generated by Maria are affecting much of the
    east coast of the United States from Florida through southern New
    England.  These swells are also affecting Bermuda, Puerto Rico, the
    northern coast of Hispaniola, the Turks and Caicos Islands, and
    the Bahamas.  These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf
    and rip current conditions.  Please consult products from your local
    weather office for more information.
    
    
    FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
    
    INIT  26/0300Z 32.3N  73.1W   70 KT  80 MPH
     12H  26/1200Z 33.2N  73.2W   65 KT  75 MPH
     24H  27/0000Z 34.1N  73.2W   65 KT  75 MPH
     36H  27/1200Z 35.0N  73.0W   60 KT  70 MPH
     48H  28/0000Z 35.5N  72.4W   60 KT  70 MPH
     72H  29/0000Z 36.5N  68.4W   60 KT  70 MPH
     96H  30/0000Z 40.0N  57.5W   60 KT  70 MPH
    120H  01/0000Z 47.0N  40.0W   60 KT  70 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
    
    $$
    Forecaster Pasch
    
    
  • Summary for Hurricane Maria (AT5/AL152017)
    ...LARGE HURRICANE MARIA CONTINUES MOVING SLOWLY NORTHWARD OFF THE SOUTHEAST UNITED STATES COAST... As of 11:00 PM EDT Mon Sep 25 the center of Maria was located near 32.3, -73.1 with movement N at 7 mph. The minimum central pressure was 969 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 80 mph.
  • Hurricane Maria Public Advisory Number 40
    Issued at 1100 PM EDT Mon Sep 25 2017
    
    000
    WTNT35 KNHC 260242
    TCPAT5
    
    BULLETIN
    Hurricane Maria Advisory Number  40
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       AL152017
    1100 PM EDT Mon Sep 25 2017
    
    ...LARGE HURRICANE MARIA CONTINUES MOVING SLOWLY NORTHWARD OFF THE
    SOUTHEAST UNITED STATES COAST...
    
    
    SUMMARY OF 1100 PM EDT...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
    -----------------------------------------------
    LOCATION...32.3N 73.1W
    ABOUT 245 MI...390 KM SE OF CAPE HATTERAS NORTH CAROLINA
    MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...80 MPH...130 KM/H
    PRESENT MOVEMENT...N OR 360 DEGREES AT 7 MPH...11 KM/H
    MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...969 MB...28.62 INCHES
    
    
    WATCHES AND WARNINGS
    --------------------
    CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:
    
    None.
    
    SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:
    
    A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...
    * Bogue Inlet to the North Carolina/Virginia border
    * Albemarle and Pamlico Sounds
    
    A Storm Surge Watch is in effect for...
    * Cape Lookout to Duck
    
    A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are
    expected somewhere within the warning area.
    
    A Storm Surge Watch means there is a possibility of life-
    threatening inundation, from rising water moving inland from the
    coastline, in the indicated locations during the next 48 hours.
    For a depiction of areas at risk, please see the National Weather
    Service Storm Surge Watch/Warning Graphic, available at
    hurricanes.gov.
    
    For storm information specific to your area, including possible
    inland watches and warnings, please monitor products issued by your
    local National Weather Service forecast office.
    
    
    DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
    ------------------------------
    At 1100 PM EDT (0300 UTC), the center of Hurricane Maria was located
    near latitude 32.3 North, longitude 73.1 West. Maria is moving
    toward the north near 7 mph (11 km/h), and this general motion with
    some decrease in forward speed is expected through Tuesday night. A
    turn toward the north-northeast is expected on Wednesday.  On the
    forecast track, the center of Maria will pass east of the coast of
    North Carolina during the next couple of days.
    
    Maximum sustained winds are near 80 mph (130 km/h) with higher
    gusts.  Gradual weakening is forecast during the next couple of
    days, and Maria is forecast to become a tropical storm Tuesday night
    or Wednesday.
    
    Maria is a large hurricane.  Hurricane-force winds extend outward up
    to 105 miles (165 km) from the center and tropical-storm-force winds
    extend outward up to 205 miles (335 km).
    
    The minimum central pressure estimated from Hurricane Hunter
    aircraft observations is 969 mb (28.62 inches).
    
    
    HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
    ----------------------
    WIND:  Tropical storm conditions are expected within the warning
    area beginning Tuesday.
    
    STORM SURGE:  The combination of a dangerous storm surge and the
    tide will cause normally dry areas near the coast to be flooded by
    rising waters moving inland from the shoreline.  The water is
    expected to reach the following heights above ground if the peak
    surge occurs at the time of high tide...
    
    Cape Lookout to Duck including the sound side of the Outer
    Banks...2 to 4 ft
    
    Surge-related flooding depends on the relative timing of the surge
    and the tidal cycle, and can vary greatly over short distances.  For
    information specific to your area, please see products issued by
    your local National Weather Service forecast office.
    
    RAINFALL:  Maria is expected to produce total rainfall accumulations
    of 1 to 2 inches over the Outer Banks of North Carolina through
    Wednesday.
    
    SURF:  Large swells generated by Maria are affecting much of the
    east coast of the United States from Florida through southern New
    England.  These swells are also affecting Bermuda, Puerto Rico, the
    northern coast of Hispaniola, the Turks and Caicos Islands, and
    the Bahamas.  These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf
    and rip current conditions.  Please consult products from your local
    weather office for more information.
    
    
    NEXT ADVISORY
    -------------
    Next intermediate advisory at 200 AM EDT.
    Next complete advisory at 500 AM EDT.
    
    $$
    Forecaster Pasch
    
    
  • Hurricane Maria Wind Speed Probabilities Number 40
    Issued at 0300 UTC TUE SEP 26 2017
    
    000
    FONT15 KNHC 260242
    PWSAT5
                                                                        
    HURRICANE MARIA WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER  40                 
    NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL152017               
    0300 UTC TUE SEP 26 2017                                            
                                                                        
    AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE MARIA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE    
    32.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 73.1 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR  
    70 KTS...80 MPH...130 KM/H.                                         
                                                                        
    Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)                  
       ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
       EASTERN  DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
       CENTRAL  DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
                                                                        
    WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS                 
                                                                        
    CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST     
       ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...                                  
       ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...                                  
       ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...                                  
    FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS               
                                                                        
    PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE               
        OP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING            
            AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)               
       (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN           
            00Z TUE AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)      
                                                                        
    PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT                                  
    X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT                       
    PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
    THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.             
    PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY              
    64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.                 
                                                                        
                                                                        
      - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -   
                                                                        
                   FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
      TIME       00Z TUE 12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 00Z FRI 00Z SAT
    PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
                 12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 00Z FRI 00Z SAT 00Z SUN
                                                                        
    FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
    - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
    LOCATION       KT                                                   
                                                                        
    HIBERNIA OILFD 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  16(16)
    HIBERNIA OILFD 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   5( 5)
    HIBERNIA OILFD 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)
     
    CAPE RACE NFLD 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   7( 7)
     
    SABLE ISLAND   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   5( 5)   1( 6)
     
    HYANNIS MA     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)
     
    NANTUCKET MA   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)   1( 5)   X( 5)
     
    NEW LONDON CT  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
     
    MONTAUK POINT  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
     
    ISLIP NY       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   2( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
     
    NYC JFK AIRPRT 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
     
    NYC CNTRL PARK 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
     
    NEWARK NJ      34  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
     
    TRENTON NJ     34  X   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)   2( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
     
    NWS EARLE NJ   34  X   X( X)   1( 1)   3( 4)   2( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)
     
    PHILADELPHIA   34  X   X( X)   2( 2)   2( 4)   2( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)
     
    ATLANTIC CITY  34  X   1( 1)   4( 5)   3( 8)   2(10)   X(10)   X(10)
     
    BALTIMORE MD   34  X   X( X)   2( 2)   2( 4)   1( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)
     
    DOVER DE       34  X   1( 1)   5( 6)   2( 8)   2(10)   X(10)   X(10)
     
    ANNAPOLIS MD   34  X   X( X)   4( 4)   2( 6)   1( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)
     
    WASHINGTON DC  34  X   X( X)   3( 3)   1( 4)   1( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)
     
    CAPE HENLOPEN  34  X   2( 2)   6( 8)   3(11)   4(15)   X(15)   X(15)
     
    OCEAN CITY MD  34  X   6( 6)   6(12)   5(17)   4(21)   X(21)   X(21)
     
    PAX RIVER NAS  34  X   3( 3)   5( 8)   3(11)   1(12)   X(12)   X(12)
     
    WALLOPS CDA    34  1   6( 7)   6(13)   6(19)   3(22)   X(22)   X(22)
     
    CHARLOTTESVIL  34  X   X( X)   2( 2)   X( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
     
    RICHMOND VA    34  X   4( 4)   5( 9)   2(11)   1(12)   X(12)   X(12)
     
    NORFOLK NAS    34  3   6( 9)   7(16)   4(20)   2(22)   X(22)   X(22)
     
    NORFOLK VA     34  4   6(10)   7(17)   5(22)   2(24)   X(24)   X(24)
     
    OCEANA NAS VA  34  4   7(11)   9(20)   5(25)   2(27)   X(27)   X(27)
     
    ELIZABETH CTY  34  4  10(14)  10(24)   5(29)   2(31)   X(31)   X(31)
     
    RALEIGH NC     34  X   3( 3)   2( 5)   1( 6)   1( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)
     
    ROCKY MT NC    34  3   4( 7)   4(11)   3(14)   1(15)   X(15)   X(15)
     
    CAPE HATTERAS  34 13  28(41)  11(52)   4(56)   2(58)   X(58)   X(58)
    CAPE HATTERAS  50  X   2( 2)   3( 5)   2( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)
     
    FAYETTEVILLE   34  1   3( 4)   2( 6)   1( 7)   1( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)
     
    CHERRY PT NC   34  5  11(16)   6(22)   4(26)   1(27)   X(27)   X(27)
     
    NEW RIVER NC   34  9  16(25)   7(32)   4(36)   1(37)   X(37)   X(37)
     
    MOREHEAD CITY  34  7  13(20)   7(27)   3(30)   2(32)   X(32)   X(32)
     
    SURF CITY NC   34  4   6(10)   5(15)   2(17)   1(18)   X(18)   X(18)
     
    WILMINGTON NC  34  4   4( 8)   4(12)   3(15)   X(15)   X(15)   X(15)
     
    BALD HEAD ISL  34  4   4( 8)   4(12)   2(14)   X(14)   X(14)   X(14)
     
    LITTLE RIVER   34  3   4( 7)   2( 9)   1(10)   1(11)   X(11)   X(11)
     
    MYRTLE BEACH   34  2   3( 5)   2( 7)   X( 7)   1( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)
     
    GEORGETOWN SC  34  1   2( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
     
    BERMUDA        34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   5( 5)   5(10)   X(10)
     
    $$                                                                  
    FORECASTER PASCH                                                    
    

 

Details

Average temperatures in Jamaica range between 80 degrees Fahrenheit and 90 degrees Fahrenheit (27 degrees Celsius-2 degrees Celsius), with July and August being the hottest months and February the coolest. Temperatures in Jamaica generally vary approximately 10 degrees from summer to winter. Nevertheless, you should be prepared for winter in Jamaica to be slightly cooler, especially at the higher altitudes. In the mountains, the thermometer can dip to 40 degrees Fahrenheit (4 degrees Celsius).

The rainiest weather in Jamaica occurs in May and June and again in October and November and can sometimes extend into December. While the average annual rainfall is 50.7 inches, accumulation varies dramatically across the island. In contrast to the southwestern coast of Jamaica, which receives little rain and is often classified as semi barren, the eastern (windward) coast receives considerably more rain than anywhere else on the island. For the most part when it does rain in Jamaica, showers are short, heavy and followed by sunshine.

Jamaica does lie in the hurricane belt, and the official hurricane season runs from June 1 to November 30, with August and September being the peak months. However, the Caribbean region is more vast than most people think, and the chances of any single island being hit directly by a hurricane are very slim. Most often, islands will only receive the heavy rains that come on the outskirts of a hurricane, avoiding the most extreme weather conditions. Direct hits on Jamaica by major storms are so rare, in fact, that many elder Jamaican inhabitants still relate events in history to being before or after "the storm" because they may have only seen one or two of significance in their lifetimes.

Additionally, with today's meteorological technology, advanced warnings for hurricanes will reach you long before you are ever in danger, so keeping an eye on the weather in Jamaica before you leave for your vacation will go a long way toward keeping you prepared. If you hear that a hurricane has hit before you are to arrive, all is not lost. You may not have to alter your vacation at all, but do call ahead to verify current atmospheric conditions and extent of damage to the island; you may also want to get a statement from local business owners as to whether they are conducting business or when they think they will be operational again.

Last Updated on Thursday, 02 August 2012 21:43  


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Jamaican Quotes

"Mi spirit teck you." I like you even though I don't know very much about you.